Target 3 Ensure that, by 2015, children everywhere, boys and girls alike, will be able to complete a full course of primary schooling.

Regional charts on primary completion rates  Charts on primary school enrollments Map on primary school completion Reading, Writing, and Retention

To reach the education goal, countries must first enroll all school-age children. Then they must keep them in school. While the majority of developing countries have already built sufficient schools to educate their primary school-age children, only about a quarter of these countries retain all the children through primary gradation According to a World Bank study, only 37 of 155 developing countries analyzed have achieved universal primary completion.  Based on trends in the 1990s, another 32 are likely to achieve that goal. But 70 countries risk not reaching the goal unless progress is accelerated. In several of them completion rates have stagnated or even fallen in recent years.

	Progress in the 1990s and the future progress needed to achieve universal primary completion Three regions – East Asia and the Pacific, Europe and Central Asia, and Latin America and the Caribbean – are on track to achieve the goal. But three others, with 150 million primary-school-age children, are in danger of falling short. Sub-Saharan Africa lags farthest behind, with little progress since 1990. South Asia has chronically low enrollment and completion rates. And completion rates in the Middle East and North Africa stagnated in the 1990s

Why measure primary completion rate? Primary school completion is the number of students successfully completing the last year of (or graduating from) primary school in a given year, divided by the number of children of official graduation age in the population. Although not officially included as one of the MDG indicators, primary completion rate is increasingly used as a core indicator of an education system’s performance. Because it measures both the coverage of the education system and the educational attainment of students, the primary completion rate is a more accurate indicator of human capital formation and the quality and efficiency of the school system than are gross and net enrollment ratios. It is also the most direct measure of national progress toward the Millennium Development Goal of universal primary education.

High enrollments may not produce high completion rates In many countries, school enrollment rate provides a very different picture from one given by the completion rate. In Madagascar, for example, 80 percent of the students do not manage to complete the primary school education despite the country’s high enrollment rate. Many countries are on track to achieve the goal. Many countries have already reached the target. China, Mexico, and Russia are at near or full enrollment. Others, such as Brazil, Bulgaria, and Laos made rapid progress in the 1990s and are likely to reach the target by 2015. Yet, if current trends persist, children in more than half of developing countries will not complete a full course of primary education in 2015.

Most countries in Sub-Saharan Africa have very low primary completion rates, many less than 50%